Solving India’s Renewable Energy Financing Challenge: Instruments to Provide Low-cost, Long-term DebtPublished: April, 2014
The government of India plans to more than double the renewable energy capacity installed in the country from 25 GW in 2012 to 55 GW by 2017. However, renewable energy is still approximately 52-129% more expensive than conventional power (CPI, 2014b). In our previous work (CPI, 2012), we found that the biggest barrier to renewable energy in India is the inferior terms of debt – i.e., high cost, short tenor, and variable rate – which raises the cost of renewable energy in India by 24-32% compared with similar projects in the US.
While a number of financing instruments that have been used elsewhere could contribute to solving the main problems in financing renewables in India, none are currently available. In this paper, we explore financing instruments, used in other regions as well as those that were recently introduced in India in other contexts that have the potential to provide and/or facilitate low-cost, long-term debt for renewable energy in India.
We explored three categories of instruments used to finance renewable energy around the world: (a) instruments that provide access to previously untapped lowcost, long-term funds from domestic capital markets; (b) instruments that provide access to foreign debt; and (c) guarantee instruments that mitigate the risk associated with projects. We then further analyzed five instruments for: (1) their cost reduction potential, (2) their potential to increase tenor of funds, and (3) whether they provide fixed interest rates. For each instrument, we also considered (4) potential to mobilize private capital, (5) potential to attract foreign investments; and (6) feasibility of implementation. The figure below presents our results.
Source: CPI Analysis
* The baseline cost is 12.8%, which is the average annual return of an “A” rated bond.
+ Actual cost reduction depends on the structure of the guarantee
~ We assume the developer avails an interest rate swap for foreign debt
# Based on baseline foreign debt cost of 13%
Since each of these instruments represents a different kind of debt, we estimated the reduction in cost of debt for each instrument based on the typical baseline cost applicable for that particular instrument. The potential benefits from each of the instruments are as follows:
- Government bonds: A direct government borrowing and lending program, compared with a typical domestic loan that is available at 12.3% for 10 years, would reduce the cost of debt by up to 4.5 percentage points and increase tenor by up to 10 years, ultimately decreasing the delivered cost of renewable energy by approximately 25%. However, a direct government borrowing and lending program may crowd out private financing if not designed carefully.
- Infrastructure debt funds (mutual funds): An infrastructure debt fund, compared with a typical domestic loan, would reduce the cost of debt by up to 3 percentage points and increase tenor by up to 5 years, which would reduce the delivered cost of renewable energy by approximately 14.5%.
- Partial credit guarantees: Partial credit guarantees reduce the cost of debt by enhancing the credit rating of a project. By using a partial credit guarantee, an A-rated bond at 12.8% can be enhanced to AA, reducing the cost of debt by up to 1.9 percentage points, which when combined with a tenor increase of 5 years compared to domestic debt would reduce the delivered cost of renewable energy by approximately 10.5%.
- Partial risk guarantee: Partial risk guarantees attract foreign funds by mitigating political risks. A partial risk guarantee, for a typical foreign loan at 13% for 10 years, could reduce the cost debt by up to 1.8 percentage points and extend the tenor by up to 10 years, ultimately decreasing the delivered cost of renewable energy by approximately 12.7%.
- Exchange rate liquidity facility: An exchange rate liquidity facility offers a standby lower-cost credit line to mitigate currency depreciation risk for project developers who access foreign loans.A liquidity facility, compared to a typical foreign loan at 13% for 10 years, would reduce the cost of debt by up to 1.4 percentage points and increase the tenor by up to 8 years, which would decrease the delivered cost of renewable energy by approximately 11.2%.
These instruments can potentially help mobilize domestic capital and foreign investment, while improving risk management. Ultimately, the selection of the most appropriate instrument(s) for solving India’s renewable energy financing challenge depends on policy priorities and implementation feasibility. The actual benefit derived from these instruments depends on their design and implementation. The government of India should coordinate with financial institutions and research organizations on the selection, development, and implementation of these financial instruments.
Depending on which instrument mixes seem most relevant to India, we recommend further analysis to examine the instruments in greater detail: for the direct government lending program, on the design of the program to identify checks and balances to limit crowding out private investment; for infrastructure debt funds, on how to increase effectiveness and suitability for renewable energy projects; for credit guarantee on project selection and cost of implementation; for risk guarantee, assessment of guarantee programs already implemented elsewhere in the world; and for exchange rate liquidity facilities, on feasible models for Indian conditions.
- developing economies
- energy finance
- renewable energy